
ANALYSIS and OPINION:
[Our video on this subject will be published on 08/22/26]
Below are the results of a research project we conducted with Chat GPT. By “major city”, “MLB” and/or ” major league city” we asked Chat GPT to use cities that had major league sports franchises.
Please note, that in another video we concluded that despite the fact that Senator Bernie Sanders has said that he’s a democratic socialist, he is not a member of the Democratic Socialists of America (the “DSA”) and we determined that his policy positions are closer to that of a “social democrat” rather than a “democratic socialist”. ** This distinction is important because “democratic socialists” have more distain for free market capitalism and believe in more actual governmental ownership of the means of production ( meaning governmental ownership of the companies that produce all or a substantial portion of the goods and services produced in the overall economy that are privately owned in a free market system like that of the United States). By contrast, Social Democratic Parties have governed various nations in Europe and tend to take policy positions that accept free market capitalism (private ownership of all the companies that produce all of a country’s goods and services) but seek to regulate the economy in a way that provides a more substantial safety net for all citizens than would be the case without any government regulation. In other words, social democrats are more like Democrats in the Democratic Party of the United States. By contrast, true democratic socialists (and members of the DSA) tend to be closer to being true socialists as that term was used by Karl Marx. Readers who want to learn more about the basic belief systems of democratic socialists, the DSA and/or communism should see our article and videos at: Click here for more on Socialism Communism
[** We note a possible exception. Senator Sanders proposal for a American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund tends to be socialistic to the extent that the government would be taking a stock ownership interest in AI companies. (Sanders proposes that the government own 50 percent of the stock of such companies.) There is an very legitimate question of whether this type of arrangement or some version of it will become a practical necessity in the all too near future as job losses from AI reach the anticipated staggering proportions. Revolutionary ways for the government to pay unemployed Americans for these job losses, will, in our view, become a practical necessity and thus become commonplace.]
Below is the ChatGPT analysis.
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Democratic Socialists in Democratic Electoral Politics
Federal, State, and Selected Major-City Local Offices — August 2026
Methodology
This analysis uses a relatively strict identification standard. A politician is counted only when there is evidence that the person has identified as a socialist, democratic socialist, or social democrat, or is an actual member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). A DSA endorsement, standing alone, is not treated as sufficient. Bernie Sanders is excluded from the Senate calculation because the inquiry focused on candidates running or serving as Democrats.
Summary of Results
| Level | Qualifying figure | Democratic denominator | Approx. share |
| U.S. House — currently serving | 4 | 212 Democratic seats | 1.9% |
| U.S. House — 2026 nominees / projected additions | 7 total used in prior estimate | ~212 | ~3.3% |
| U.S. Senate | 0 elected (Sanders excluded) | Democratic senators | 0% |
| Governors | 0 elected | Democratic governors | 0% |
| State legislatures | ~44–45 | 3,237 Democratic legislators | ~1.4% |
| Local government in MLB cities | ~30 | ~350–370 Democratic / Democratic-aligned seats | ~8–9% |
Federal Level
The earlier review identified a small but visible socialist/democratic-socialist presence in the U.S. House. Across the period beginning in 2020, the review identified 11 qualifying House politicians or Democratic nominees, excluding Bernie Sanders from the separate Senate inquiry. Names discussed included Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Tlaib, Cori Bush, Jamaal Bowman, Summer Lee, Greg Casar, and 2026 candidates including Chris Rabb, Darializa Avila Chevalier, Claire Valdez, Melat Kiros, and Donavan McKinney.
The key point was proportional: even with highly visible national figures, self-identified democratic socialists constituted only a small fraction of Democratic federal officeholders.
State Level
An initial broader estimate was revised downward because it included some candidates or officeholders who had merely received DSA endorsements. Applying the stricter self-identification/membership standard produced an estimate of roughly 44–45 qualifying state legislators out of approximately 3,237 Democratic state legislators, or about 1.4%.
Local Level — Cities with Major League Baseball Teams
For local government, the inquiry was intentionally limited to cities with Major League Baseball teams rather than all American municipalities. The working estimate was roughly 30 qualifying socialist/democratic-socialist local officeholders among approximately 350–370 Democratic or Democratic-aligned city seats, producing an estimated share of about 8–9%.
This was the most notable pattern in the analysis: democratic-socialist representation appeared substantially more concentrated in large-city government than at the federal or state level.
Overall Pattern
Federal: roughly 2–3% → State: roughly 1.4% → Selected big-city local government: roughly 8–9%
The figures support a limited conclusion: under the strict self-identification standard, democratic socialists remain a relatively small portion of Democratic federal and state officeholders, while their representation is materially higher in the selected large-city governments examined.
Important Qualifications
- There is no official government database classifying elected officials by socialist or democratic-socialist ideology.
- The counts were assembled person-by-person and therefore should be treated as estimates rather than an official census.
- DSA membership, DSA endorsement, and personal ideological self-identification are different things; the analysis generally required membership or self-identification rather than endorsement alone.
- The local-government denominator is especially approximate because many municipal elections are formally nonpartisan.
- The 2026 election cycle was still underway when this analysis was prepared; primary winners are not necessarily general-election winners.
Update — August 19, 2026
The 2026 picture continues to change. Angie Nixon won Florida’s Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate on August 18, 2026. Contemporary reporting identifies her as a democratic socialist and DSA member. Because she has won a Democratic Senate primary but has not been elected to the Senate, she should be added to any count of qualifying Democratic Senate nominees while the count of elected Democratic-socialist U.S. senators (excluding Bernie Sanders) remains zero.
Selected Sources
- Democratic Socialists of America, “Hot DSA Electoral Wins! New Democratic Socialist in Congress — Plus State and Local Wins Across the Country,” May 22, 2026.
- Democratic Socialists of America / Democratic Left, electoral reporting and candidate information.
- MultiState, “2026 State Legislatures,” for contemporary state-legislative control context.
- Reuters, August 18, 2026, reporting on Angie Nixon’s Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary victory.
- Associated Press, August 19, 2026, reporting on Angie Nixon’s Democratic Senate primary victory.
Prepared August 19, 2026
Exactly What Was in Each Numerator and Denominator
Democratic-Socialist Electoral Analysis — Clarification of the August 2026 Calculations
The Counting Rule
The purpose of the analysis was to estimate the share of Democrats at each level who met our relatively strict “socialist” test. The numerator was intended to include a person only if there was evidence that the person self-identified as a socialist, democratic socialist, or social democrat, or was an actual member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). A DSA endorsement by itself was not supposed to be enough.
The denominator was not the total number of officeholders of all parties. It was the Democratic comparison group at that level. Thus, the question was essentially: “Of the Democrats in this category, approximately what percentage meet our socialist/democratic-socialist definition?”
1. U.S. House — Current Officeholders: 4 ÷ 212 = 1.9%
NUMERATOR: 4
The numerator used in our earlier calculation was four sitting U.S. House members whom the earlier research treated as satisfying the self-identification/membership standard. It was a count of qualifying Democratic House members, not all progressives, not everyone endorsed by DSA, and not candidates who had merely won a 2026 primary.
DENOMINATOR: 212
The denominator was the 212 Democratic seats in the U.S. House used in the earlier analysis. Republicans, the independent member, vacancies, and all non-Democratic seats were excluded.
CALCULATION: 4 ÷ 212 × 100 = 1.89%, rounded to 1.9%.
2. U.S. House — 2026 Primary Winners / Expected Additions: 7 ÷ ~212 = ~3.3%
NUMERATOR: 7
This was a forward-looking figure rather than a count of seven people already serving in Congress. The earlier analysis used seven qualifying Democratic House figures after incorporating 2026 Democratic-primary winners/nominees who were expected to enter or remain in the House. The discussion specifically included 2026 names such as Chris Rabb, Darializa Avila Chevalier, Claire Valdez, Melat Kiros, and Donavan McKinney, together with qualifying incumbents as applicable. This figure therefore mixed incumbency with nomination/election expectations and should not be described as a present-tense count of sitting House members.
DENOMINATOR: approximately 212
For the rough percentage, we retained approximately the existing Democratic House-seat count as the denominator. It was therefore an illustrative projection, not a mathematically final post-November 2026 percentage.
CALCULATION: 7 ÷ 212 × 100 = 3.30%, or approximately 3.3%.
IMPORTANT: This is the least apples-to-apples of the percentages because its numerator incorporated 2026 nominees/expected members while its denominator used the then-current Democratic House-seat count.
3. U.S. Senate — 0%
NUMERATOR: 0 elected Democratic senators (Bernie Sanders excluded)
The numerator counted sitting U.S. senators elected as Democrats who met the strict socialist/democratic-socialist standard. Bernie Sanders was expressly excluded because he is an Independent, even though he caucuses with Democrats and identifies as a democratic socialist. [Editor’s Note: We at reasonandbalance.com disagree with this assessment. We think that Bernie Sanders should be excluded because based on our analysis, Senator Sanders is not really aligned with the DSA and acts more like a social democrat than a democratic socialist, despite his statements to the contrary.]
DENOMINATOR: Democratic U.S. senators
The denominator was the number of senators who were Democrats, rather than all 100 senators. Because the numerator was zero, the resulting percentage was 0% regardless of the precise Democratic-seat denominator.
August 19 update: Angie Nixon’s August 18 Florida Democratic Senate-primary victory changes a count of qualifying Democratic Senate nominees, but not the count of sitting U.S. senators. She is a nominee, not yet an elected senator.
4. Democratic Governors — 0%
NUMERATOR: 0
The numerator was the number of sitting Democratic governors whom we found to satisfy the strict self-identification/membership standard.
DENOMINATOR: all sitting Democratic governors
Republican and other non-Democratic governors were excluded. Because the numerator was zero, the percentage was 0%.
5. State Legislatures — about 44–45 ÷ 3,237 = about 1.4%
NUMERATOR: approximately 44–45
The numerator was our revised estimate of Democratic state senators and state representatives/assembly members nationwide who met the strict socialist/democratic-socialist self-identification or membership test. We had initially considered a substantially larger figure, but reduced it because merely receiving a DSA endorsement was not enough under the standard we chose.
DENOMINATOR: approximately 3,237 Democratic state legislators
The denominator was Democratic members of state legislatures nationwide—not all state legislators of both parties.
CALCULATION: 44 ÷ 3,237 = 1.36%; 45 ÷ 3,237 = 1.39%. Either rounds to approximately 1.4%.
6. Local Government in Cities with MLB Teams — about 30 ÷ 350–370 = about 8–9%
NUMERATOR: approximately 30
The numerator was the estimated number of qualifying socialist/democratic-socialist local officeholders in the municipal governments of U.S. cities with Major League Baseball teams. The inquiry was deliberately limited to city government; state officials were not included merely because they represented those cities.
DENOMINATOR: approximately 350–370 Democratic or Democratic-aligned city officeholders/seats
The denominator was intended to represent Democratic or Democratic-aligned city-government seats in those same MLB cities—not every municipal seat in America and not all city seats regardless of party. This denominator was necessarily approximate because many municipal elections are formally nonpartisan and party affiliation is not uniformly recorded.
CALCULATION: 30 ÷ 350 = 8.57%; 30 ÷ 370 = 8.11%. Thus the working description was roughly 8–9%.
One-Page Bottom Line
| Category | Numerator | Denominator | Result |
| Current U.S. House | 4 qualifying Democratic House members | 212 Democratic House seats | 1.9% |
| 2026 House projection | 7 qualifying incumbents/nominees used in projection | ~212 Democratic House seats | ~3.3% |
| U.S. Senate | 0 qualifying sitting Democratic senators; Sanders excluded | Democratic senators | 0% |
| Governors | 0 qualifying Democratic governors | All Democratic governors | 0% |
| State legislatures | ~44–45 qualifying Democratic state legislators | ~3,237 Democratic state legislators | ~1.4% |
| MLB-city local government | ~30 qualifying local officeholders | ~350–370 Democratic/Dem.-aligned city seats | ~8–9% |
Critical Caveat
These percentages should be presented as estimates from our research, not as official statistics. No government database identifies officeholders by socialist ideology. The state and especially local counts require person-by-person classification. The 2026 House projection is conceptually different from the current-officeholder percentages and should always be labeled as a projection.
Sources Used to Check the Framework
- Democratic Socialists of America, “Hot DSA Electoral Wins! New Democratic Socialist in Congress — Plus State and Local Wins Across the Country,” May 22, 2026.
- PolitiFact, “What Trump’s communism claims miss about Democrats and democratic socialists,” July 9, 2026.
- The Washington Post, June 25, 2026, reporting on DSA members and 2026 Democratic congressional primary winners.
- Associated Press and other August 19, 2026 reporting confirming Angie Nixon’s August 18 Democratic U.S. Senate primary victory in Florida.
Prepared August 19, 2026
Effect of Using All Officeholders as the Denominator
General conclusion. As a rough generalization, the percentages previously calculated would be cut approximately in half if the denominator were changed from Democratic officeholders to all officeholders, including Republicans. The precise reduction would not always be exactly one-half because Democrats and Republicans do not hold exactly equal numbers of offices.
State Legislatures: A Concrete Example
Our earlier state-legislature calculation used approximately 45 qualifying democratic-socialist/socialist/social-democratic legislators as the numerator and approximately 3,237 Democratic state legislators as the denominator:
45 ÷ 3,237 × 100 = 1.39% (approximately 1.4%)
If the numerator remains the same but the denominator is expanded to include all 7,386 state legislative seats—Democratic, Republican, other, and vacant—the calculation becomes:
45 ÷ 7,386 × 100 = 0.61%
Thus, in this example the percentage falls from approximately 1.4% of Democratic state legislators to approximately 0.6% of all state legislative seats. That is slightly less than half because Democrats hold fewer than half of the total seats.
The General Formula
Percentage among Democrats = qualifying democratic socialists ÷ Democratic officeholders.
Percentage among all officeholders = qualifying democratic socialists ÷ all Democratic + Republican + other officeholders.
If Democrats held exactly 50% of the relevant offices, changing to the all-officeholder denominator would cut the percentage exactly in half.
Useful Shorthand
“When measured against all officeholders rather than just Democratic officeholders, the percentages would generally be cut roughly in half.”
Broader Significance
The state-legislature example illustrates the broader point. Even using the relatively broad qualifying definition adopted in the earlier analysis—socialist, democratic socialist, or social democrat—the estimated group represents well under 1% of all state legislative seats nationally.
Source Note
The state-legislative denominator used for this illustration was 7,386 total seats, consisting of approximately 4,044 Republican, 3,237 Democratic, and 105 other or vacant seats, based on National Conference of State Legislatures partisan-composition data used in the prior response.
Prepared August 19, 2026
Effect of Using All Officeholders as the Denominator
General conclusion. As a rough generalization, the percentages previously calculated would be cut approximately in half if the denominator were changed from Democratic officeholders to all officeholders, including Republicans. The precise reduction would not always be exactly one-half because Democrats and Republicans do not hold exactly equal numbers of offices.
State Legislatures: A Concrete Example
Our earlier state-legislature calculation used approximately 45 qualifying democratic-socialist/socialist/social-democratic legislators as the numerator and approximately 3,237 Democratic state legislators as the denominator:
45 ÷ 3,237 × 100 = 1.39% (approximately 1.4%)
If the numerator remains the same but the denominator is expanded to include all 7,386 state legislative seats—Democratic, Republican, other, and vacant—the calculation becomes:
45 ÷ 7,386 × 100 = 0.61%
Thus, in this example the percentage falls from approximately 1.4% of Democratic state legislators to approximately 0.6% of all state legislative seats. That is slightly less than half because Democrats hold fewer than half of the total seats.
The General Formula
Percentage among Democrats = qualifying democratic socialists ÷ Democratic officeholders.
Percentage among all officeholders = qualifying democratic socialists ÷ all Democratic + Republican + other officeholders.
If Democrats held exactly 50% of the relevant offices, changing to the all-officeholder denominator would cut the percentage exactly in half.
Useful Shorthand
“When measured against all officeholders rather than just Democratic officeholders, the percentages would generally be cut roughly in half.”
Broader Significance
The state-legislature example illustrates the broader point. Even using the relatively broad qualifying definition adopted in the earlier analysis—socialist, democratic socialist, or social democrat—the estimated group represents well under 1% of all state legislative seats nationally.
Source Note
The state-legislative denominator used for this illustration was 7,386 total seats, consisting of approximately 4,044 Republican, 3,237 Democratic, and 105 other or vacant seats, based on National Conference of State Legislatures partisan-composition data used in the prior response.
Prepared August 19, 2026